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  #1  
Old Mar 16th, 2010, 06:12 PM
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Default What Does He Likely Hold?

10/20 NL cash game. $2,000 stacks.

You limp UTG with: AK

Player on your left raises to $100. He is a tight and aggressive player. He's willing to make big bluffs and big calls. Folded around back to you. You re-raise to $360. He calls.

Flop: AA4

You bet $320. He calls. Turn is: 8


You check. He checks. River is: 2


You bet $600. He calls. Your image is tricky, tight and aggressive. Your opponent has seen you show down some bluffs in the past, but doesn't consider you a maniac.
What is his most likely holding?
You may choose only one

AK

KK

44

88
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  #2  
Old Mar 16th, 2010, 07:47 PM
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I'll venture KK
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  #3  
Old Mar 16th, 2010, 07:50 PM
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Ummm... IDK?

I'll go with KK, though AK is possible.
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Old Mar 16th, 2010, 09:35 PM
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I believe KK is the best possible choice.

AK: Yes, he would raise this hand but would he play it so slow on the turn? Unless he's legitimately scared of us having pocket aces. Other I think he would raise with AK at some point.

44 or 88: Would a TAG raise with one of these UTG+1? 88 maybe but I doubt 44. If he did raise would he call a limp/reraise from UTG with these? If he did call I'd have to believe he would put in at least one raise on the turn at least to get value against AK.

KK: You mention he likes to make big calls. Maybe he had it stuck in his head you're limp/raising and now betting with an underpair and can't let the big pocket pair go.
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Old Mar 16th, 2010, 09:51 PM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SilentBobAK47 View Post
I believe KK is the best possible choice.

KK: You mention he likes to make big calls. Maybe he had it stuck in his head you're limp/raising and now betting with an underpair and can't let the big pocket pair go.
I agree totally as I was the first to state KK. My further thought was he was encouraged that since AA came, the odds of a stray A was less plus you limped which doesn't normally smell like AK.
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  #6  
Old Mar 17th, 2010, 03:16 AM
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split pot, he would have reshoved preflop with KK and 44 is not likely to want that much preflop action and should have folded to your limp raise. That is too expensive to set mine. 88 Should not have called the turn bet because he would have had to put you on AK AA KK maybe QQ either way if he is tight semi solid player his 88 would be in the muck. After the flop he probably put you on KK since he has an Ace, he is guessing that you do not and is slowplaying you.
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  #7  
Old Mar 17th, 2010, 04:00 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SilentBobAK47 View Post

AK: Yes, he would raise this hand but would he play it so slow on the turn? Unless he's legitimately scared of us having pocket aces. Other I think he would raise with AK at some point.


If he has AK and is scared of us having AA he`s really drunk

KK seems most likely. Outside chance of AK but I don`t think he`s just calling the river on that board with AK.
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Old Mar 17th, 2010, 04:08 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by idmtchris View Post
he would have reshoved preflop with KK.
I don`t think that`s necessarily true in this case.

Remember, we limped then 3 bet, a classic play with AA.

However when he sees 2 aces on the flop he knows it`s less likely we have an ace in our hand so he calls our c-bet. We check the turn which gives him reason to think that maybe we have KK or QQ and allows him to call the river bet.
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  #9  
Old Mar 17th, 2010, 05:16 AM
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Quote:
Originally Posted by SilentBobAK47 View Post
I believe KK is the best possible choice.

AK: Yes, he would raise this hand but would he play it so slow on the turn? Unless he's legitimately scared of us having pocket aces. Other I think he would raise with AK at some point.

44 or 88: Would a TAG raise with one of these UTG+1? 88 maybe but I doubt 44. If he did raise would he call a limp/reraise from UTG with these? If he did call I'd have to believe he would put in at least one raise on the turn at least to get value against AK.

KK: You mention he likes to make big calls. Maybe he had it stuck in his head you're limp/raising and now betting with an underpair and can't let the big pocket pair go.
I like the way you reasoned this out, Bob.
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